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石油開發(fā)利用的水資源稀缺性評(píng)價(jià)研究
馮翠洋, 趙佳龍, 尹琳琳
中國(guó)礦業(yè)大學(xué)( 北京) 管理學(xué)院,北京100083
Water scarcity assessment for oil development and utilization
FENG Cuiyang, ZHAO Jialong, YIN Linlin
School of Management, China University of Mining and Technology-Beijing, Beijing 100083, China

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摘要? 石油是關(guān)系到國(guó)家安全的重要戰(zhàn)略資源,,但現(xiàn)階段其開發(fā)利用受到了水資源的約束,。已有研究通過(guò)水足 跡和虛擬水等指標(biāo)對(duì)石油開發(fā)利用的水資源使用情況進(jìn)行了測(cè)算,,但不能夠全面地反映其面臨的水資源脆弱性,。本研究基于投入產(chǎn)出分析方法,考慮區(qū)域水資源壓力,,構(gòu)建了稀缺水足跡評(píng)估模型和虛擬稀缺水貿(mào)易測(cè)算模型,,從石油開發(fā)利用對(duì)稀缺水資源的消耗和對(duì)虛擬稀缺水貿(mào)易的驅(qū)動(dòng)兩個(gè)角度進(jìn)行了綜合評(píng)價(jià)。結(jié)果表明,,將區(qū)域水資源壓力納入水資源使用評(píng)估,,可以更好地反映中國(guó)區(qū)域石油開發(fā)利用面臨的水資源約束。對(duì)于寧夏回族自治區(qū)等區(qū)域,,雖然在石油開發(fā)利用中使用的水資源量不多,,但卻面臨著嚴(yán)重的水資源稀缺性問題,尤其是石油,、煉焦產(chǎn)品和核燃料加工品面臨著較大的水資源短缺壓力,。為了有效緩解上述區(qū)域在石油開發(fā)利用中面臨的水資源脆弱性,有必要從區(qū)域和部門層面對(duì)關(guān)鍵虛擬稀缺水流動(dòng)進(jìn)行識(shí)別和管理,。從區(qū)域?qū)用娼Y(jié)果來(lái)看,,需要重點(diǎn)關(guān)注新疆維吾爾自治區(qū)、黑龍江省等虛擬稀缺水凈流出區(qū)域?qū)φ憬?、遼寧省等虛擬稀缺水凈流入?yún)^(qū)域在石油開發(fā)利用中的虛擬稀缺水轉(zhuǎn)移,。從部門層面結(jié)果來(lái)看,需要重點(diǎn)關(guān)注能源類行業(yè)和農(nóng)業(yè)對(duì)石油,、煉焦產(chǎn)品和核燃料加工品的虛擬稀缺水的轉(zhuǎn)移,。為了有效緩解石油開發(fā)利用中面臨的水資源壓力,,本研究呼吁構(gòu)建高效協(xié)同的水資源管理機(jī)制,將水資源稀缺性作為核心考量因素納入?yún)^(qū)域石油開發(fā)利用戰(zhàn)略規(guī)劃中,。同時(shí),,加強(qiáng)能源部門與水資源管理部門的跨部門合作,科學(xué)規(guī)劃開采布局與規(guī)模,,確保石油開發(fā)活動(dòng)不損害水資源安全,。此外,通過(guò)虛擬稀缺水的區(qū)域調(diào)配,、推廣節(jié)水和水資源循環(huán)利用工藝技術(shù)等方式,,推動(dòng)中國(guó)石油資源的可持續(xù)開發(fā)利用。
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關(guān)鍵詞 : 石油,投入產(chǎn)出分析,稀缺性,水足跡,虛擬水
Abstract

Oil is an important strategic resource for national security, but its development and utilization are restricted by water resources at present. Some studies have measured the water resource use of oil development and utilization through water footprint and virtual water, but they cannot fully reflect the water resource vulnerability of oil development and utilization. Based on the input-output analysis method and water resources pressure, this study develops the scarce water footprint assessment model and virtual scarce water trade estimation model. These models are used to analyze the consumption of scarce water resources and the driving of virtual scarce water trade by regional oil development and utilization in China. The results show that incorporating regional water resources pressure into water use assessment can better reflect the water resources constraints of China’s regional oil development and utilization. For Ningxia Hui Autonomous Region, the amount of water resources used in oil development and utilization is not large, but it faces serious water scarcity problems on account of water pressure. Especially, oil, coking products, and nuclear fuel processing products of Ningxia Hui Autonomous Region are faced with greater pressure of water shortage. To effectively mitigate the water resource vulnerability faced by the above regions in oil development and utilization, it is necessary to identify and manage critical virtual scarce water flows at the regional and sectoral levels. From the results at the regional level, it is necessary to focus on the transfer of virtual scarce water from net outflow areas of virtual scarce water such as Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region and Heilongjiang Province to net inflow areas of virtual scarce water such as Zhejiang Province and Liaoning Province in oil development and utilization. From the sector-level results, there is a need to focus on the diversion of virtual scarce water from the energy sector and agriculture to oil, coking, and nuclear fuel processing products. To effectively alleviate the pressure of water resources in oil development and utilization, this study calls for the establishment of an efficient and collaborative water resources management mechanism, and the inclusion of water scarcity as a core consideration in regional oil development and utilization strategic planning. At the same time, strengthen the cross-sectoral cooperation between the energy sector and the water resources management sector, scientifically plan the layout and scale of exploitation, and ensure that oil development activities do not harm water resources security. In addition, the sustainable development and utilization of China's oil resources are promoted through regional allocation of virtual scarce water, the promotion of water-saving and recycling technology of water resources.


Key words: oil; input-output analysis; scarcity; water footprint; virtual water
收稿日期: 2024-10-31 ????
PACS: ? ?
基金資助:國(guó)家自然科學(xué)基金項(xiàng)目(52300241)、中國(guó)礦業(yè)大學(xué)( 北京) 大學(xué)生創(chuàng)新訓(xùn)練項(xiàng)目(202305030),、中央高?;究蒲袠I(yè)務(wù)費(fèi)專項(xiàng)資金聯(lián)合資助
通訊作者: [email protected]
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馮翠洋, 趙佳龍, 尹琳琳. 石油開發(fā)利用的水資源稀缺性評(píng)價(jià)研究. 石油科學(xué)通報(bào), 2024, 09(05): 841-852 FENG Cuiyang, ZHAO Jialong, YIN Linlin. Water scarcity assessment for oil development and utilization. Petroleum Science Bulletin, 2024, 09(05): 841-852. doi: 10.3969/j.issn.2096-1693.2024.05.065
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