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首頁» 過刊瀏覽» 2024» Vol.9» lssue(2) 354-364???? DOI : 10.3969/ j.issn.2096-1693.2024.02.026
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天然氣量價耦合非線性銷售優(yōu)化模型構(gòu)建及應(yīng)用
趙思睿, 劉定智, 張曦, 侯浩遠, 張元濤, 左麗麗, 吳長春
1 中國石油大學(xué)(北京)油氣管道輸送安全國家工程研究中心/石油工程教育部重點實驗室/城市油氣輸配技術(shù)北京市重點實驗室,,北京 102249 2 中國石油天然氣股份有限公司規(guī)劃總院,,北京 100083
Construction and application of a natural gas volume-price coupled nonlinear sales optimization model
ZHAO Sirui, LIU Dingzhi, ZHANG Xi, HOU Haoyuan, ZHANG Yuantao, ZUO Lili, WU Changchun
1 National Engineering Research Center of Oil and Gas Pipeline Transportation Safety/Beijing Key Laboratory of Urban Oil and Gas Distribution Technology, China University of Petroleum-Beijing, Beijing102249, China 2 Planning & Engineering Institute of PetroChina, Beijing100083, China

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摘要? 在國家天然氣產(chǎn)業(yè)“X+1+X”政策下,,針對直面市場競爭的銷售環(huán)節(jié),,天然氣價格對下游客戶市場的開發(fā)至關(guān)重要,。針對天然氣銷售公司與下游客戶簽訂的階梯氣價結(jié)算合同在制定過程未充分考慮客戶購氣能力的不足,,本文通過分析客戶量價關(guān)系對階梯價格的影響,,結(jié)合天然氣供應(yīng)鏈結(jié)構(gòu),,建立了天然氣量價耦合非線性優(yōu)化模型,。該模型以天然氣銷售公司總利潤最大為目標(biāo)函數(shù),以天然氣供應(yīng)鏈各環(huán)節(jié)氣量,、供銷氣量以及客戶各階梯氣價為決策變量,,考慮各環(huán)節(jié)氣量上下限約束、各客戶調(diào)價空間約束,、節(jié)點流量平衡約束,、客戶量價關(guān)系約束、階梯價格約束,、客戶類型約束等,,調(diào)用GUROBI求解器中的空間分支定界算法對該混合整數(shù)二次規(guī)劃模型進行求解。將模型及算法應(yīng)用于某省網(wǎng)大型多氣源多客戶( 含10 個氣源和121 個客戶)的供銷系統(tǒng)中,,計算時間不超過5 秒,,算法求解效率高。與階梯價格方案固定的銷售情況相比,,所得各客戶銷量及氣價方案使得總效益最高提升17.2%,,具有較好的優(yōu)化效果。本文構(gòu)建的模型及算法應(yīng)用于不同客戶類型的案例中,,同時兼顧了客戶和天然氣銷售公司的利益,??捎糜谔烊粴怃N售公司與下游客戶進行價格復(fù)議時推薦調(diào)價方案,,并為天然氣銷售公司制定階梯氣價銷售方案提供依據(jù)。
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關(guān)鍵詞 : 天然氣客戶,階梯氣價,量價關(guān)系,非線性優(yōu)化,調(diào)價方案
Abstract

The “X+1+X” policy in the national natural gas industry has positioned the price of natural gas as a crucial factor for the development of the downstream customer market. The sales segment, which is directly exposed to market competition, heavily relies on this pricing strategy. In response to the shortcomings of the ladder gas price settlement contract signed between the natural gas sales company and downstream customers, which does not fully consider the customers' gas purchasing ability in the process of formulation, this paper analyzes the impact of customer volume-price relationship on the ladder price, and establishes a natural gas volume-price coupled nonlinear sales optimization model of the natural gas supply chain. The model takes the maximum total benefit of the natural gas sales company as the objective function, and takes the gas volume of each link in the natural gas supply chain, the natural gas supply and sales volume as well as the customers' ladder prices as the decision variables. The constraints of the model include the upper and lower limits of the gas volume of each link, pricing adjustment space constraints for each customer, the node flow balance constraints, the constraints of customers' volume-price relationship, the constraints of the ladder price, the constraints of the type of different customer, etc. The proposed complex mixed-integer quadratic optimization model is solved using the spatial branch and bound algorithm in the GUROBI solver. This method is applied to a large-scale multi-gas source and multi-customer supply and demand system (including 10 gas sources and 121 customers) within a provincial network. Remarkably, the computation time does not exceed 5 seconds, demonstrating the high efficiency of the model and algorithms. When compared to the current sales situation with a fixed ladder pricing scheme, the optimized sales volume and gas price scheme for each customer resulted in a total benefit increase of 17.2%. This significant improvement underscores the effectiveness of the proposed model. Importantly, the model and algorithm developed in this paper can be applied to a variety of customer types, ensuring that the interests of both customers and natural gas sales companies are considered. The model has shown promising application effects and can be used to recommend price adjustment plans in cases of price reconsideration between natural gas sales companies and downstream customers, and provides a solid foundation for natural gas sales companies to formulate more effective and beneficial ladder gas price sales schemes.


Key words: gas customers; ladder gas price; volume-price relationship; non-linearity; price adjustment plan
收稿日期: 2024-04-30 ????
PACS: ? ?
基金資助:國家自然科學(xué)基金面上項目(52174064) 資助
通訊作者: [email protected]; [email protected]
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趙思睿, 劉定智, 張曦, 侯浩遠, 張元濤, 左麗麗, 吳長春. 天然氣量價耦合非線性銷售優(yōu)化模型構(gòu)建及應(yīng)用. 石油科學(xué)通報, 2024, 02: 354-364 ZHAO Sirui, LIU Dingzhi, ZHANG Xi, HOU Haoyuan, ZHANG Yuantao, ZUO Lili, WU Changchun. Construction and application of a natural gas volume-price coupled nonlinear sales optimization model. Petroleum Science Bulletin, 2024, 02: 354-364.
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