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首頁(yè)» 過(guò)刊瀏覽» 2023» Vol.8» Issue(5) 671-681???? DOI : 10.3969/j.issn.2096-1693.2023.05.063
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進(jìn)口/ 出口計(jì)費(fèi)模式下天然氣管網(wǎng)輸入/ 輸出能力驗(yàn)證的兩階段魯棒模型
步亞冉, 左麗麗, 吳長(zhǎng)春, 趙思睿
中國(guó)石油大學(xué)( 北京) 油氣管道輸送安全國(guó)家工程實(shí)驗(yàn)室/石油工程教育部重點(diǎn)實(shí)驗(yàn)室/城市油氣輸配技術(shù)北京市重點(diǎn)實(shí)驗(yàn)室,,北京 102249
A two-stage robust model for verifying the input/output capacity of a gas pipeline network under entry/exit tariff mode
BU Yaran; ZUO Lili; WU Changchun; ZHAO Sirui
National Engineering Laboratory for Pipeline Safety, Beijing Key Laboratory of Urban Oil and Gas Distribution Technology, China University of Petroleum-Beijing, Beijing 102249, China

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摘要? 對(duì)于覆蓋區(qū)域較小且拓?fù)浣Y(jié)構(gòu)較復(fù)雜的天然氣管網(wǎng),,可以采用進(jìn)口/出口計(jì)費(fèi)模式提供輸氣服務(wù),,即根據(jù)托運(yùn)商在管網(wǎng)進(jìn)口/出口預(yù)定的輸入/輸出能力收取管輸費(fèi),,而不考慮其托運(yùn)天然氣的管輸路徑,。在該模式下,,某節(jié)點(diǎn)的輸入/輸出能力被定義為該節(jié)點(diǎn)可被預(yù)定的最大輸入/輸出流量,。管網(wǎng)公司根據(jù)經(jīng)驗(yàn)初定管網(wǎng)各進(jìn)口/ 出口的輸入/輸出能力,,若經(jīng)驗(yàn)證,該管網(wǎng)中任何不超過(guò)節(jié)點(diǎn)輸入/輸出能力的輸入/輸出流量組合均存在可行的輸送方案,,則初定的節(jié)點(diǎn)輸入/輸出能力可以對(duì)托運(yùn)商公布并供其預(yù)定,。該驗(yàn)證問(wèn)題為不確定性驗(yàn)證問(wèn)題,需要在實(shí)際輸入/輸出流量為不確定性參數(shù)的前提下,,求解管網(wǎng)運(yùn)行方案,。本文建立了兩階段魯棒模型,將帶有不確定性參數(shù)的驗(yàn)證問(wèn)題轉(zhuǎn)化為針對(duì)“最差工況”的驗(yàn)證問(wèn)題,。第一階段將管網(wǎng)輸入/輸出流量作為決策變量,,輸入/輸出流量對(duì)應(yīng)的不確定集合轉(zhuǎn)化為約束條件,分別以各個(gè)中間壓氣站進(jìn)站壓力或分輸站的分輸壓力最低為目標(biāo),,得到多個(gè)“最差工況”,。在第二階段,驗(yàn)證“最差工況”下各個(gè)最低進(jìn)站/分輸壓力是否滿足對(duì)應(yīng)的壓力下限約束,。相比于以往基于單個(gè)工況的輸入/輸出能力驗(yàn)證方法,,該方法消除了人工選擇有限個(gè)工況的局限性,驗(yàn)證結(jié)果更為可靠,。分析計(jì)算結(jié)果顯示:相比于基于路徑的計(jì)費(fèi)模式,,復(fù)雜管網(wǎng)中進(jìn)口/出口模式下的輸氣費(fèi)用更能反映實(shí)際成本;但該模式下管網(wǎng)物理輸氣能力可能無(wú)法得到充分利用,,造成管網(wǎng)輸氣能力的浪費(fèi),。本文探究了在我國(guó)區(qū)域性管網(wǎng)應(yīng)用進(jìn)口/ 出口模式的可行性,并為天然氣管網(wǎng)的公平開放制度完善提供了借鑒,。
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關(guān)鍵詞 : 計(jì)費(fèi)模式,天然氣管網(wǎng),輸氣能力,優(yōu)化,魯棒優(yōu)化
Abstract

The transmission service of small and topology-complex natural gas pipeline networks can be provided using an Entry/Exit(E/E) tariff mode. The booking of gas transmission capacity under the E/E tariff mode does not consider the path of gas flow, and is charged according to injections and/or deliveries. The input/output capacity at an entry/exit in the E/E mode is defined as the maximum flow that can be booked by the shippers. The pipeline company initially determines the tentative input/ output capacities at entries/exits in the pipeline network based on experience. If there exists at least one feasible operational plan for any input/output flow combination that does not exceed the capacities at the entries/exits in the pipeline network, the initially determined input/output capacities can be published and booked by shippers. The validation of input/output capacities requires finding an operational plan for the pipeline network when the actual input/output flows are uncertain parameters. Thus, the validation problem is an uncertainty optimization problem. In this work, a two-stage robust optimization model was established to transform the validation problem with uncertain parameters into a deterministic problem of verifying the worst-case scenarios. There were several sub-models in the first stage. In each sub-model, the input and output flows at the entries and exits of a gas network were decision variables, with the corresponding uncertainty set transformed into constraints. And the objective function is to minimize the inlet pressure of each compressor or delivery station to generate the worst-case scenarios. In the second stage, the minimum inlet/delivery pressures of the compressor/delivery stations under the worst-case scenarios were verified whether they meet the lower pressure limit constraints. The input and output capacities are feasible if all the constraints are satisfied. Compared to previous capacity validation methods that based on verifying multiple scenarios, the model proposed in this study eliminated the limitation of manually selecting scenarios, ensuring that the calculation results were reliable. The results indicated that in a complex pipeline network, the gas transmission cost under the E/E mode better reflects actual costs, comparing to that under the path-based tariff mode. However, the physical gas transmission capacity of a network cannot be fully utilized under this mode in most cases, resulting in capacity wastage. Based on the input/output capacities validation model, this paper explored the feasibility of applying the E/E tariff mode in regional gas pipeline networks in China, and it could also be referred for improving the open access regime for pipeline networks.


Key words: tariff regime; gas network; gas transmission capacity; optimization; robust optimization
收稿日期: 2023-10-31 ????
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通訊作者: [email protected]; [email protected]
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步亞冉, 左麗麗, 吳長(zhǎng)春, 趙思睿. 進(jìn)口/出口計(jì)費(fèi)模式下天然氣管網(wǎng)輸入/輸出能力驗(yàn)證的兩階段魯棒模型. 石油科學(xué)通報(bào), 2023, 05: 671-681 BU Yaran; ZUO Lili; WU Changchun; ZHAO Sirui. A two-stage robust model for verifying the input/output capacity of a gas pipeline network under entry/exit tariff mode. Petroleum Science Bulletin, 2023, 05: 671-681.
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