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首頁» 過刊瀏覽» 2023» Vol.8» Issue(1) 112-124???? DOI : 10.3969/j.issn.2096-1693.2023.01.008
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長距離氫氣管道運(yùn)輸?shù)募夹g(shù)經(jīng)濟(jì)分析
朱珠, 廖綺, 邱睿, 梁永圖, 宋悅, 薛杉
1 中國石油大學(xué) (北京)機(jī)械與儲(chǔ)運(yùn)工程學(xué)院,城市油氣輸配技術(shù)北京市重點(diǎn)實(shí)驗(yàn)室,北京 102249 2 中國石油天然氣管道工程有限公司,,北京 100724
Technical and economic analysis on long-distance hydrogen pipeline transportation
ZHU Zhu, LIAO Qi, QIU Rui, LIANG Yongtu, SONG Yue, XUE Shan
1 Beijing Key Laboratory of Urban Oil and Gas Distribution Technology, China University of Petroleum-Beijing, Beijing 102249, China 2 China National Petroleum Pipeline Engineering Co., Ltd, Beijing 100724, China

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摘要? 管道輸氫是實(shí)現(xiàn)氫氣大規(guī)模、長距離運(yùn)輸?shù)挠行Х绞?,然而受高投資和運(yùn)行成本影響,實(shí)現(xiàn)管道輸送氫 氣并非易事?,F(xiàn)階段,,技術(shù)經(jīng)濟(jì)模型可對(duì)管道的各個(gè)階段進(jìn)行預(yù)可行性和可行性評(píng)估,并描述管道的技術(shù)內(nèi)容 和特點(diǎn),,而對(duì)于氫氣管道,,已有國內(nèi)外氫氣管道研究通常將氫氣管道視為氫供應(yīng)鏈流程中運(yùn)輸環(huán)節(jié)的一種運(yùn)輸 方式進(jìn)行宏觀供應(yīng)鏈系統(tǒng)優(yōu)化,,而無法反映管道的詳細(xì)技術(shù)特征和市場變化,,導(dǎo)致氫氣管道成本的大幅度變化。 為此,,本文結(jié)合現(xiàn)有管道的技術(shù)特征與成本分析法,,建立了氫氣管道的預(yù)算型技術(shù)經(jīng)濟(jì)模型,分析了氫氣管道 的主要構(gòu)成成本,、氫氣管道平準(zhǔn)化成本與運(yùn)輸規(guī)模之間的關(guān)系,,并采用氫氣平準(zhǔn)化成本為分析指標(biāo)進(jìn)行氫氣管 道運(yùn)輸與長管拖車、天然氣摻氫管道和液氫槽車運(yùn)輸方式的對(duì)比,,最終獲取國內(nèi)純氫管道的投資建設(shè)成本范圍 和平準(zhǔn)化成本范圍,。此外,本文提出降低氫氣管道運(yùn)輸成本的主要方式為提高氫氣輸送規(guī)模,、改造現(xiàn)有油氣管 道與優(yōu)化包含氫氣管道的運(yùn)輸方式布局,。研究結(jié)果顯示:①當(dāng)設(shè)計(jì)輸量為 2040 年的需求量時(shí),氫氣管道運(yùn)行 結(jié)果為選取管徑為 DN500 的氫氣管道進(jìn)行運(yùn)輸,,沿線站場壓力滿足要求且管線流速均在安全范圍內(nèi),。②對(duì)于給 定的 150~550 km管道,當(dāng)設(shè)計(jì)輸量為 2040 年的需求量時(shí),,總建設(shè)投資范圍為 9.66×108~ 35.43×108 CNY,。③ 氫氣管道運(yùn)輸平準(zhǔn)化成本隨運(yùn)輸距離增加而增加,當(dāng)運(yùn)輸規(guī)模一定時(shí),,平準(zhǔn)化成本最高不超過 10.12 CNY/kg,。 ④在給定運(yùn)輸規(guī)模和不同的運(yùn)輸距離下,,氫氣管道運(yùn)輸成本較長管拖車和液氫槽車具有價(jià)格優(yōu)勢(shì),價(jià)格范圍在 2.76~10.12 CNY/kg,。研究成果可為純氫管道的成本估算提供依據(jù),,對(duì)合理選擇氫氣管道工程投資和經(jīng)濟(jì)效益評(píng) 價(jià)對(duì)比分析具有重要意義,為管道建設(shè)提供參考,。
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關(guān)鍵詞 : 氫氣管道,;技術(shù)經(jīng)濟(jì)模型,;技術(shù)設(shè)計(jì);成本分析,;平準(zhǔn)化成本
Abstract

Pipeline is an effective way to convey large-volumn hydrogen for long distance. However, due to high investment and operating costs, it is not easy to transport hydrogen by pipelines. At this stage, a techno-economic model can carry out pre-feasibility and feasibility assessment on each stage of the pipeline, and describe the technical content and characteristics of the pipeline. For hydrogen pipeline, the existing domestic and foreign research on hydrogen pipeline generally regards the hydrogen pipeline as a transportation mode of the transportation link in the hydrogen supply chain process for macro supply chain system optimization, but cannot reflect the detailed technical characteristics and market changes of the pipeline. This has led to significant changes in the cost of hydrogen pipelines. Aming at this issue, this paper combines with the technical characteristics of existing pipelines and cost analysis method to develop a technical-economic model, analyzes the relationship between the main composition cost of hydrogen pipeline, the levelized cost of hydrogen pipeline and the transportation scale, and uses the levelized cost of hydrogen as the analysis index to compare the transportation mode of hydrogen pipeline with that of long-pipe trailer, natural gas hydrogen blending pipeline and liquid hydrogen tank car. Finally, the investment and construction cost range and levelized cost range of domestic hydrogen pipeline will be obtained. In addition, this paper proposes the main ways to reduce the transportation cost of hydrogen pipeline, mainly including increasing the scale of hydrogen transportation, reforming the existing oil and gas pipeline and optimizing the transportation mode layout including hydrogen pipeline. The research results show that: ① When the design throughput is the demand in 2040, the operation result of the hydrogen pipeline is to select the DN500 hydrogen pipeline for transportation, and the pressure of the stations along the line meets the requirements and the flow rate of the pipeline is within the safe range. ② Given the design capacity, the total construction investment range is 9.66×108 ~35.43×108 CNY for 150~155 km pipelines. ③ The levelized transportation cost of hydrogen pipeline increases with the increase of transportation distance but is no more than 10.12 CNY/kg when the transportation scale is constant. ④ Compared with long tube trailers and liquid hydrogen tankers, the cost of hydrogen pipeline transportation has price advantage under given transportation scale and different transportation distance, and the price range is 2.76 ~10.12 CNY/kg. The research results can provide the basis for the cost estimation of pure hydrogen pipeline, have important significance for the reasonable selection of hydrogen pipeline project investment and economic benefit evaluation and comparative analysis, and provide reference for pipeline construction.

Key words: hydrogen pipeline; technical economic model; technical design; cost analysis; levelized cost
收稿日期: 2023-02-28 ????
PACS: ? ?
基金資助:國家自然科學(xué)基金項(xiàng)目“面向大規(guī)模成品油管網(wǎng)調(diào)度的數(shù)據(jù)解析與優(yōu)化融合方法” (52202405) 資助
通訊作者: [email protected]
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朱珠, 廖綺, 邱睿, 梁永圖, 宋悅, 薛杉. 長距離氫氣管道運(yùn)輸?shù)募夹g(shù)經(jīng)濟(jì)分析. 石油科學(xué)通報(bào), 2023, 01: 112-124 ZHU Zhu, LIAO Qi, QIU Rui, LIANG Yongtu, SONG Yue, XUE Shan. Technical and economic analysis of long-distance hydrogen pipeline transportation. Petroleum Science Bulletin, 2023, 01: 112-124
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