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首頁» 過刊瀏覽» 2016» Vol. 1» Issue (3) 390-400???? DOI : 10.3969/j.issn.2096-1693.2016.03.034
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海底輸氣管道泄漏天然氣擴(kuò)散風(fēng)險(xiǎn)研究
李新宏,陳國明,,朱紅衛(wèi),,康前前
中國石油大學(xué)(華東)海洋油氣裝備與安全技術(shù)研究中心,青島 266580
Research into the risk of natural gas spread from submarine natural gas pipeline leakage
LI Xinhong, CHEN Guoming, ZHU Hongwei, KANG Qianqian
Centre for Offshore Engineering and Safety Technology, China University of Petroleum, Qingdao 266580, China

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摘要? 針對(duì)海底輸氣管道在服役過程中發(fā)生泄漏引發(fā)天然氣擴(kuò)散問題,,采用計(jì)算流體動(dòng)力學(xué)CFD方法,建立海底輸氣管道泄漏天然氣擴(kuò)散后果預(yù)測(cè)與評(píng)估模型。圍繞泄漏天然氣在海水中以及從海面溢出后在大氣中擴(kuò)散兩種場(chǎng)景,,預(yù)測(cè)天然氣在海水中的運(yùn)移軌跡,評(píng)估天然氣上浮時(shí)間,、溢出位置和溢出區(qū)域大小等關(guān)鍵風(fēng)險(xiǎn)參數(shù),。預(yù)測(cè)天然氣從海面溢出后在大氣中的擴(kuò)散過程,,評(píng)估天然氣在海面形成的危險(xiǎn)區(qū)域范圍,并考慮海面天然氣爆燃場(chǎng)景,,評(píng)估爆燃超壓,、火災(zāi)高溫和熱輻射等傷害參數(shù)的變化規(guī)律。研究表明:天然氣水下擴(kuò)散能夠引起海面表層海水密度降低,,在海面形成的涌流效應(yīng),,可能對(duì)海面浮式結(jié)構(gòu)物的穩(wěn)定性產(chǎn)生影響;天然氣海面擴(kuò)散風(fēng)險(xiǎn)主要為可燃?xì)庠票灰贾罂赡馨l(fā)生爆燃事故,;CFD模型能夠?qū)崿F(xiàn)對(duì)海底輸氣管道泄漏天然氣擴(kuò)散風(fēng)險(xiǎn)的有效預(yù)測(cè)和評(píng)估,,可為海底輸氣管道泄漏風(fēng)險(xiǎn)管理與應(yīng)急決策提供參考。
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關(guān)鍵詞 : 海底輸氣管道; 泄漏,; 天然氣,; 擴(kuò)散; 風(fēng)險(xiǎn)評(píng)估,; 計(jì)算流體動(dòng)力學(xué)
Abstract

  Abstract?In terms of the risk from submarine natural gas pipeline leakage, a computational fluid dynamics (CFD) model is developed to predict and assess the consequence of natural gas escape. In the present study, both of the scenarios that natural gas escapes into sea water and above the sea surface are included. The escape trajectory of natural gas in seawater is predicted, and the critical risk parameters like rise time, spill position and spill region etc. are assessed using the developed CFD model. Based on the assessment results of natural gas movement in seawater, the transport process and corresponding danger areas of natural gas above the sea surface are also determined. In addition, considering the likelihood of ignition, the deflagration scenario of natural gas above sea surface is simulated and analyzed in the present study for assessing the overpressure, high temperature and heat radiation, etc. The study results indicate that natural gas escape in seawater could lead the density of surface water to decrease, and form a “boiled” zone or fountain, which would have an effect on the stability of floating structures on sea surface. A deflagration accident may occur when the natural gas above sea surface is ignited by a ship or platform. The CFD model developed in this paper could be employed to predict and assess the risk of natural gas from submarine pipeline leakage effectively, and provide an educational reference for risk management and emergency decision-making for submarine natural gas pipeline leakage.

Key words: submarine natural gas pipelines ; leakage ; natural gas ; risk assessment ; CFD
收稿日期: 2016-11-15 ????
PACS: ? ?
基金資助:國家重點(diǎn)研發(fā)計(jì)劃課題 “臨海油氣管道及陸上終端風(fēng)險(xiǎn)評(píng)估及防控技術(shù)”(2016YFC0802305)資助
通訊作者: [email protected]
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李新宏,,陳國明,朱紅衛(wèi),,康前前. 海底輸氣管道泄漏天然氣擴(kuò)散風(fēng)險(xiǎn)研究[J]. 石油科學(xué)通報(bào), 2016, 1(3): 390-400. LI Xinhong, CHEN Guoming, ZHU Hongwei, KANG Qianqian. Research into the risk of natural gas spread from submarine natural gas pipeline leakage. 石油科學(xué)通報(bào), 2016, 1(3): 390-400.
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