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摘要? 石油和天然氣資源是一國經(jīng)濟發(fā)展的重要驅動力，但許多重要產(chǎn)油國優(yōu)異的資源稟賦并沒有有效地促進本國經(jīng)濟增長，背后原因值得探討。本文以1980-2014 年間全球重要產(chǎn)油國的經(jīng)濟增長差異為研究對象，在Sachs和Warner框架的基礎上，對產(chǎn)油國經(jīng)濟增長水平與油氣資源豐裕度之間的相關性進行了分析。研究表明，產(chǎn)油國經(jīng)濟增長與油氣資源豐裕度之間具有顯著的負相關性，即使在加入開放度、投資、貿(mào)易條件、人力資本、制度等因素后，負相關性依然存在，產(chǎn)油國“資源詛咒”命題確實成立。在此基礎上，本文對豐富的油氣資源阻滯經(jīng)濟增長的傳導機制進行了分析，結果驗證了“荷蘭病”效應、人力資本積累不足、制度質(zhì)量弱化都是產(chǎn)油國油氣資源阻滯經(jīng)濟增長的作用渠道，其中又以人力資本積累不足影響最大。

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關鍵詞 ：產(chǎn)油國；資源詛咒；傳導機制；制度；人力資本

Abstract：

　　Oil and gas resources should be an important driver of a country’s economic development, however, rich resources endowment in many oil-producing countries do not promote the growth of their economies, and this is worth further study. Based on Sachs and Warner’s analytical framework, this paper makes a thorough investigation on the relationships between natural resource abundance and economic growth of important oil-producing countries using their 35 years’ economic development differences from 1980 to 2014. The results show that the relationship still holds negative even after controlling relevant growth variables such as openness, investment, terms of trade, human capital and regime, This confirms the hypothesis of “the Resource Curse” in oil-producing countries. This paper also studies the transmission channels of “Resource Curse”, and finds that insufficient human capital has the largest impact.

Key words： oil-producing countries ; resource curse ; transmission channel ; regime ; human capital

收稿日期: 2016-07-06 ????

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基金資助:國家軟科學研究計劃項目(2013GXS3B049)、中國石油大學( 北京) 科研基金(2462014YJRC025、2462015YQ1401) 資助

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劉明明，王震，潘燕妮. 油氣資源稟賦與產(chǎn)油國經(jīng)濟增長關系的實證研究[J]. 石油科學通報, 2016, 1(2): 286-292. LIU Mingming, WANG Zhen, PAN Yanni. An empirical study of the linkage between oil and gas resource abundance and economic growth in oil-producing countries. 石油科學通報, 2016, 1(2): 286-292.

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