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首頁(yè)» 過(guò)刊瀏覽» 2016» Vol. 1» Issue (2) 286-292???? DOI : 10.3969/j.issn.2096-1693.2016.02.024
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油氣資源稟賦與產(chǎn)油國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)關(guān)系的實(shí)證研究
劉明明,,王震,,潘燕妮
1 中國(guó)石油大學(xué)( 北京) 中國(guó)能源戰(zhàn)略研究院,北京 102249 2 中國(guó)石油天然氣集團(tuán)政策研究室,,北京 100003
An empirical study of the linkage between oil and gas resource abundance and economic growth in oil-producing countries
LIU Mingming, WANG Zhen, PAN Yanni
1 Academy of Chinese Energy Strategy, China University of Petroleum-Beijing, Beijing 102249, China 2 CNPC Policy Research Office, Beijing 100007, China

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摘要? 石油和天然氣資源是一國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展的重要驅(qū)動(dòng)力,,但許多重要產(chǎn)油國(guó)優(yōu)異的資源稟賦并沒有有效地促進(jìn)本國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng),,背后原因值得探討。本文以1980-2014 年間全球重要產(chǎn)油國(guó)的經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)差異為研究對(duì)象,,在Sachs和Warner框架的基礎(chǔ)上,,對(duì)產(chǎn)油國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)水平與油氣資源豐裕度之間的相關(guān)性進(jìn)行了分析。研究表明,,產(chǎn)油國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)與油氣資源豐裕度之間具有顯著的負(fù)相關(guān)性,,即使在加入開放度、投資,、貿(mào)易條件,、人力資本、制度等因素后,,負(fù)相關(guān)性依然存在,,產(chǎn)油國(guó)“資源詛咒”命題確實(shí)成立。在此基礎(chǔ)上,,本文對(duì)豐富的油氣資源阻滯經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的傳導(dǎo)機(jī)制進(jìn)行了分析,,結(jié)果驗(yàn)證了“荷蘭病”效應(yīng)、人力資本積累不足,、制度質(zhì)量弱化都是產(chǎn)油國(guó)油氣資源阻滯經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的作用渠道,,其中又以人力資本積累不足影響最大。
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關(guān)鍵詞 : 產(chǎn)油國(guó); 資源詛咒; 傳導(dǎo)機(jī)制,; 制度,; 人力資本
Abstract

  Oil and gas resources should be an important driver of a country’s economic development, however, rich resources endowment in many oil-producing countries do not promote the growth of their economies, and this is worth further study. Based on Sachs and Warner’s analytical framework, this paper makes a thorough investigation on the relationships between natural resource abundance and economic growth of important oil-producing countries using their 35 years’ economic development differences from 1980 to 2014. The results show that the relationship still holds negative even after controlling relevant growth variables such as openness, investment, terms of trade, human capital and regime, This confirms the hypothesis of “the Resource Curse” in oil-producing countries. This paper also studies the transmission channels of “Resource Curse”, and finds that insufficient human capital has the largest impact.

Key words: oil-producing countries ; resource curse ; transmission channel ; regime ; human capital
收稿日期: 2016-07-06 ????
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基金資助:國(guó)家軟科學(xué)研究計(jì)劃項(xiàng)目(2013GXS3B049)、中國(guó)石油大學(xué)( 北京) 科研基金(2462014YJRC025,、2462015YQ1401) 資助
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劉明明,,王震,潘燕妮. 油氣資源稟賦與產(chǎn)油國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)關(guān)系的實(shí)證研究[J]. 石油科學(xué)通報(bào), 2016, 1(2): 286-292. LIU Mingming, WANG Zhen, PAN Yanni. An empirical study of the linkage between oil and gas resource abundance and economic growth in oil-producing countries. 石油科學(xué)通報(bào), 2016, 1(2): 286-292.
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