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首頁» 過刊瀏覽» 2016» Vol. 1» Issue (2) 293-305???? DOI : 10.3969/j.issn.2096-1693.2016.02.025
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美國Haynesville 頁巖氣井產(chǎn)量遞減規(guī)律
郭克強(qiáng),張寶生,,Mikael HOOK,,Kjell ALEKLETT
1 中國石油大學(xué)( 北京) 工商管理學(xué)院,北京 102249 2 烏普薩拉大學(xué)地球科學(xué)學(xué)院,,烏普薩拉 SE 75236,,瑞典
Production decline laws for shale gas wells in Haynesville, US
GUO Keqiang, ZHANG Baosheng, Mikael HOOK, Kjell ALEKLETT
1 School of Business Administration, China University of Petroleum-Beijing, Beijing 102249, China 2 Department of Earth Sciences, Uppsala University, Uppsala SE75236, Sweden

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摘要? Haynesville區(qū)塊是美國含氣量最豐富的頁巖區(qū)塊之一,地位重要,,且數(shù)據(jù)相對完善,,對其進(jìn)行產(chǎn)量遞減規(guī)律研究,,既有現(xiàn)實(shí)意義,又有理論價(jià)值,。同時(shí)運(yùn)用傳統(tǒng)Arps雙曲遞減模型和現(xiàn)代擴(kuò)展指數(shù)遞減模型對該區(qū)塊2008—2014 年812 口頁巖氣單井產(chǎn)量進(jìn)行擬合,,分析遞減模型的參數(shù)、峰值產(chǎn)量,、不同時(shí)期遞減率和最終可采儲量,,進(jìn)而總結(jié)頁巖氣井的產(chǎn)量遞減規(guī)律。結(jié)果表明:(1)該地區(qū)大部分頁巖氣井顯示出典型的“鐘型曲線”產(chǎn)量變化模式,,即產(chǎn)量在短時(shí)期內(nèi)從低到高達(dá)到峰值,,然后迅速下降,并長期保持低產(chǎn),;(2)在遞減階段,,兩個(gè)模型對頁巖氣井組均值和單井產(chǎn)量數(shù)據(jù)序列都有很好的擬合效果,盡管傳統(tǒng)的雙曲遞減模型的參數(shù)β有26%的取值大于1,,但合理選取頁巖氣井的產(chǎn)氣生命周期長度(比如20 年)可有效降低最終可采儲量預(yù)測誤差,,因此仍可用于頁巖氣產(chǎn)量分析;(3)約有70%的頁巖氣井峰值產(chǎn)量達(dá)到9.3萬~ 27.9萬 m3/d,,且從整體趨勢看,,“新井”往往比“老井”具有更高的峰值產(chǎn)量,遞減期第1 年時(shí)的產(chǎn)量遞減率為72%,,第2年時(shí)為86%,。
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關(guān)鍵詞 : 美國Haynesville區(qū)塊,; 頁巖氣; 產(chǎn)量遞減規(guī)律,; 雙曲遞減,; 擴(kuò)展指數(shù)遞減
Abstract

  The Haynesville, one of the most successful developed shale plays in the U.S., was used as a case in this study because of its important position, long history and complete database, based on which the production decline laws can be analyzed. The traditional Arps Hyperbolic and the modern Stretched Exponential decline curve models were applied to the well-by-well production data to find the characteristic parameters of production decline curves. The study shows: (1) most of the studied shale gas wells have a typical production pattern of peaking rapidly and declining steeply after the peak is reached; (2) during the decline phase, both the Hyperbolic model and the Stretched Exponential model fit well to the aggregate and the individual shale gas wells, even about 26% of the β-parameter values of the hyperbolic model are larger than one, which still can be used when a well life span is set as 20 years; (3) in the Haynesville play, about 70% of wells reach a peak production of 9.3×104~27.9×104 m3/d, newer wells tend to have higher peak production than older wells, and in the decline phase, the production decline rate after the first year is around 72% and over the first two years is around 86%.

Key words: U.S. Haynesville ; shale gas ; production decline laws ; hyperbolic ; stretched exponential
收稿日期: 2016-07-13 ????
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基金資助:國家社會科學(xué)基金重大項(xiàng)目“非常規(guī)油氣開發(fā)利用對國家能源安全及社會經(jīng)濟(jì)的影響”(13&ZD159) 資助
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郭克強(qiáng),張寶生,,Mikael HOOK,,Kjell ALEKLETT. 美國Haynesville 頁巖氣井產(chǎn)量遞減規(guī)律[J]. 石油科學(xué)通報(bào), 2016, 1(2): 293-305. GUO Keqiang, ZHANG Baosheng, Mikael HOOK, Kjell ALEKLETT. Production decline laws for shale gas wells in Haynesville, US. 石油科學(xué)通報(bào), 2016, 1(2): 293-305.
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