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首頁» 過刊瀏覽» 2016» Vol. 1» Issue (1) 2-23???? DOI : 10.3969/j.issn.2096-1693.2016.01.001
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中國(guó)油氣資源研究現(xiàn)狀與發(fā)展方向
賈承造1,2,3,龐雄奇1,2,姜福杰1,2
1 油氣資源與探測(cè)國(guó)家重點(diǎn)實(shí)驗(yàn)室,,北京 102249 2 中國(guó)石油大學(xué) ( 北京 ),,北京 102249 3中國(guó)石油天然氣集團(tuán)公司,,北京 1007
Research status and development directions of hydrocarbon resources in China
JIA Chengzao, PANG Xiongqi, JIANG Fujie
1 State Key Laboratory of Petroleum Resource and Prospecting, Beijing 102249 2 China University of Petroleum-Beijing, Beijing 102249 3 China National Petroleum Corporation, Beijing 100724

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摘要? 中國(guó)油氣資源將長(zhǎng)期處于短缺狀態(tài)。自 1993 年中國(guó)成為石油凈進(jìn)口國(guó)以來,,油氣進(jìn)口量逐年增加,,2015年分別達(dá)到 3.28 億t和 624 億m3。據(jù)中國(guó)工程院和國(guó)際能源署(IEA)等單位預(yù)測(cè):中國(guó)未來將長(zhǎng)期處于油氣短缺狀態(tài),,石油對(duì)外依存度將從2015 年的 65%提高到 2030 年的 80%以上,;油氣資源在中國(guó)能源結(jié)構(gòu)中的比率目前不到 23%,與美國(guó)的 67%和俄羅斯的 75%相比嚴(yán)重偏低,,大幅度提高油氣資源的比率對(duì)于減少污染和提高人民生活水平具有現(xiàn)實(shí)意義,。 中國(guó)油氣資源豐富,但地質(zhì)條件十分復(fù)雜且開發(fā)成本高,。具體表現(xiàn)為:中國(guó)的油氣資源分布高度不均,,在不同盆地、不同年代地層,、不同埋藏深度條件下差異性大,;中國(guó)油氣資源中非常規(guī)油氣資源比率高且種類多;中國(guó)油氣資源中易勘探開發(fā)的常規(guī)油氣資源比率少,、油氣資源品質(zhì)總體較差,、剩余油氣資源賦存的地質(zhì)條件惡劣,勘探難度大且成本高,。中國(guó)油氣資源勘探開發(fā)研究雖取得了重大進(jìn)展,,但仍與國(guó)外先進(jìn)水平有較大差距。理論上,,在中國(guó)復(fù)雜疊合盆地的形成演化,、地層劃分、巖石類型成因,、天然氣成因類型鑒別等方面取得了重要進(jìn)展,;技術(shù)上,在復(fù)雜地質(zhì)條件下的油氣勘探技術(shù),、復(fù)雜油氣藏的開發(fā)與開采技術(shù)等方面取得了重要進(jìn)展,;裝備上,研發(fā)了超萬米鉆機(jī),、海洋 985 鉆井平臺(tái),、大型壓裂車、X100 級(jí)管線鋼,、地質(zhì)導(dǎo)向PDC鉆頭等設(shè)備,。盡管如此,中國(guó)在非常規(guī),、深層,、深海等關(guān)鍵領(lǐng)域的油氣勘探開發(fā)技術(shù)上還大幅度落后于發(fā)達(dá)國(guó)家,,處于領(lǐng)先的高新技術(shù)所占比率不超過 30%,60%以上的技術(shù)處于跟蹤狀態(tài),。中國(guó)油氣資源研究面臨 3 方面挑戰(zhàn):一是中國(guó)國(guó)內(nèi)油氣資源勘探開發(fā)的難度大且成本高,,每年發(fā)現(xiàn)儲(chǔ)量增長(zhǎng)緩慢,儲(chǔ)產(chǎn)比非常低,,需要加大關(guān)鍵技術(shù)研發(fā)力度,;二是中國(guó)油氣資源勘探開發(fā)關(guān)鍵技術(shù)研發(fā)投入的經(jīng)費(fèi)少且變化性大,不利于原創(chuàng)性技術(shù)的產(chǎn)生與應(yīng)用,,需要調(diào)整基礎(chǔ)研究,、技術(shù)研發(fā)和規(guī)模化應(yīng)用的投入比率,;三是中國(guó)非常規(guī)油氣資源,、深層油氣資源、深海油氣資源,、老區(qū)剩余油氣資源等較為豐富,、目前儲(chǔ)量增長(zhǎng)勢(shì)頭良好,反映了油氣資源的發(fā)展方向,,但當(dāng)前面臨的突出問題需要集中力量予以解決,。
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關(guān)鍵詞 : 中國(guó)油氣資源,; 油氣勘探開發(fā); 非常規(guī)油氣,; 深層油氣,; 深海油氣
Abstract

  Hydrocarbon resources will be in short supply in the future in China. Since 1993, China has been a net importer of oil while oil and gas imports increase year by year. The amounts imported reached 328 million tons of oil and 62.4 billion cubic meters of gas in 2015. External oil dependency will increase from 65% in 2015 to more than 80% in 2030. The Chinese Academy of Engineering and the International Energy Agency (IEA) predict that China will have future long-term oil and gas shortages. The proportion of oil and gas in China’s energy use is less than 23% at present, which is substantially lower than the 75% in the United States and 67% in Russia. A substantial increase in the proportion of oil and gas used has practical significance in reducing pollution and improving people’s living standards. China is rich in oil and gas resources, but the geological conditions are complex and development is expensive. Chinese hydrocarbon resources show many characteristics. Firstly, the oil and gas resource distribution is highly uneven. The characteristics of hydrocarbon resources in different basins, different chronostratigraphy and different burial depths are very different. Secondly, the unconventional oil and gas resources are very varied and large. Finally, the residual conventional oil and gas resources are smaller, poor quality and have adverse geological conditions. Future exploration will face great difficulties and high costs. Although China’s oil and gas exploration research has achieved a great deal, there is still a large gap from advanced foreign levels. In theory, significant progress has been made in understanding the formation and evolution of reservoirs, stratigraphic classification and the origins of different rock types and gas types and China’s complicated superimposed basins. In technology, important progress has been made in oil and gas exploration technology under complicated geological conditions, complex reservoir development and exploitation technology. As to equipment, the ultra-deep drilling, ocean 985 drilling platform, large fracturing truck, X100 grade pipeline steel, geological guide PDC bit and so on have been designed and manufactured. Even so, China still falls far behind developed countries in the key areas of unconventional, deep stratum and deep-sea oil and gas exploration and development. The proportion of leading technologies is no more than 30%. More than 60% technologies are in the tracking state. Three challenges to China’s oil and gas resources research needs to be faced without delay. First, it is currently very difficult and expensive to explore for and develop hydrocarbon resources in China. Discovered reserves are only growing slowly. The ratio of production to reservoir reserves is very low. All of these key technologies need to be studied seriously. Second, the funds invested in the key technologies of oil and gas resources exploration and development are low and changeable. This is harmful to the development and application of original technology. The funding of basic research, technology development and commercial application all need to be increased. Third, in China, the unconventional, deep, deep-sea and residual oil and gas resources are abundant, and the actual reserves increase rapidly. All of these would be the development directions of oil and gas resources. But first of all, the serious challenges currently need to be tackled and solved as soon as possible.

Key words: China hydrocarbon resources ; oil and gas exploration and development ; unconventional oil and gas ; deep oil and gas ; deep-sea oil and gas
收稿日期: 2018-05-30 ????
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賈承造,龐雄奇,,姜福杰. 中國(guó)油氣資源研究現(xiàn)狀與發(fā)展方向[J]. 石油科學(xué)通報(bào), 2016, 1(1): 2-23. JIA Chengzao, PANG Xiongqi, JIANG Fujie. Research status and development directions of hydrocarbon resources in China. 石油科學(xué)通報(bào), 2016, 1(1): 2-23.
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